Be it a one-month-old rising wedge or the overbought RSI conditions, GBPUSD shows it all to suggest that the bull’s reign is near to end. However, a sustained trading below the 1.2330 support, comprising the lower line of the aforementioned rising wedge bearish chart pattern, becomes necessary for the seller’s entry. Even so, the 200-DMA level surrounding 1.2100 could challenge the bears. Following that, a downward trajectory towards the 1.2000 psychological magnet and then to September’s peak surrounding 1.1740 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the rising wedge confirmation signals a theoretical target of around 1.1000.
Meanwhile, the upper line of the stated wedge, close to 1.2550, could act as an immediate upside hurdle to watch during the Cable pair’s further advances. In a case where the GBPUSD bulls defy the bearish chart pattern by crossing the 1.2550 hurdle, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s south-run from late March to September, near 1.2675, could lure the buyers. It’s worth noting that the mid-March low close to the 1.3000 psychological magnet and late March swing high near 1.3300 will be in focus if the quote remains firmer past 1.2675.
Overall, GBPUSD is up for further downside as the BOE looms. However, a surprise hawkish outcome could allow the bulls to have a few more happy days.
