GBPUSD struggles to extend the previous three-week uptrend as it seesaws around a three-week high after retreating from an ascending resistance line stretched from late October. The pullback also takes clues from the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought territory, as well as an impending bear cross on the MACD. With this, the Cable pair appears vulnerable to extending the latest weakness towards the 1.2480-70 support confluence comprising 100-SMA, 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-July upside. However, the 1.2600 and 1.2500 round figures are likely to test the bears before allowing them to confront with strong support. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.2470, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward October’s peak of 1.2337 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, GBPUSD recovery needs validation from the recent top surrounding 1.2735. Even so, the aforementioned resistance line, close to 1.2800 at the latest, and the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of nearly 1.2830 will challenge the Pound Sterling’s upside targeting the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Following that, the yearly high of 1.3142 will be in the spotlight.
Above all, fears of the UK’s economic slowdown unearth as traders shift attention from dovish Fed concerns and brace for this week’s US jobs report, which in turn tests the GBPUSD pair buyers.