USDJPY extends Friday’s rebound from the nine-week-old rising support line while printing the fresh high of the year 2023. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI (14) line and lackluster MACD signals suggest hardships for the pair buyers moving forward. Also challenging the upside is the 150.00 psychological magnet and a seven-month-old ascending trend channel’s top line, surrounding 151.00. In a case where the Yen pair stays firmer past 151.00, the previous yearly high of around 151.95 and the 152.00 round figure could lure the bulls. Following that, a gradual run-up towards the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to January 2023 downside, close to 158.80, is highly expected.
Meanwhile, the aforementioned immediate support line joins the late October 2022 swing high to challenge the short-term USDJPY bears around the 148.90-85 zone. However, the quote’s weakness past 148.85 will make it vulnerable to dropping toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around 146.70. Should the Yen pair sellers keep the reins past 146.70, June’s high of around 145.00 might become their favorite. Above all, a convergence of the stated bullish channel’s top line and 61.8% Fibonacci ratio, close to 142.60, becomes the key to witnessing a reversal of the seven-month-long bullish trend.
Overall, USDJPY’s pullback appears overdue but the bulls are more likely to keep the reins.